台湾中央银行10月27日报告：科技需求强劲将带动出口至2027年，预估明年经济增长5.82%
台湾中央银行10月27日向立法院提交报告表示，新兴科技应用需求预计将保持强劲，继续带动台湾的出口与民间投资，科技需求将成为把出口动能延续到2027年的主要力量。据路透社报道，中央银行同时预估，因今年经济增长基数较高，2027年经济增幅将放缓至5.82%，但仍属稳健增长。
报告写道：「展望明年，新兴科技应用需求预期维持强劲，应能继续带动台湾出口与民间投资。」中央银行上个月刚把2026年经济增长预估从6月时预测的9.45%上调至11.48%。报告还指出，地缘政治风险与天气状况，是影响台湾未来通胀走势的主要不确定因素。
台湾是全球主要半导体制造地，台积电是全球最大的晶圆代工企业，为英伟达等公司供应推动人工智能浪潮的芯片。中央银行此次对科技出口的判断，意味着以半导体为核心的出口结构仍是台湾经济增长的主要支撑，相关数字将由后续发布的官方统计逐月验证。
Taiwan Central Bank Sees Strong Tech Demand Driving Exports into 2027, Forecasts 5.82% Growth
Taiwan's central bank said in a report to lawmakers on October 27 that strong demand for emerging technology applications is expected to keep driving Taiwan's exports and private investment into 2027. According to Reuters, the central bank forecast that economic growth in 2027 will moderate to 5.82% because of this year's high base, which it said still represents steady growth.
'Looking ahead to next year, demand for emerging technology applications is expected to remain strong, which should continue to drive Taiwan's exports and private investment,' the central bank said in its report. The bank last month raised its 2026 economic growth forecast to 11.48% from the 9.45% prediction it gave in June. In its report to lawmakers, the central bank also said geopolitical risks and weather conditions are the main uncertainties affecting the future trajectory of inflation in Taiwan.
Taiwan is a major semiconductor manufacturer and home to TSMC, the world's largest contract chipmaker and a supplier to companies like Nvidia that are powering the trend towards artificial intelligence. The central bank's assessment points to the semiconductor-centred export structure remaining the main support for Taiwan's growth, with official statistics in coming months to confirm the trend.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：位于新竹的台积电全球研发中心夜景（资料图）。曾成训 摄，CC BY 2.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / TSMC's Global R&D Center in Hsinchu at night (file photo). Photo by Tseng Cheng-hsun, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
