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跟进:金价周一收复4,000美元:油价回落缓和通胀忧虑,市场静待美联储决议

2026-10-26 · 金融 · GSM News事件

据路透社周一报道,现货黄金在亚洲交易时段上涨0.4%,报每盎司4,010.51美元,收复4,000美元关口;前一个交易日,金价曾触及7月中旬以来的最低水平。12月交割的美国黄金期货同样上涨0.4%,报每盎司4,024.00美元。金价上周五录得4%的周跌幅,为6月以来最大单周跌幅。

Capital.com高级金融市场分析师Kyle Rodda表示,这轮涨势在很大程度上是油价走低带来的缓解性反弹,但随着市场为两天后的美联储决议调整仓位,涨幅很容易受限;金价将继续随利率预期与地缘政治风险波动。油价在上周冲上近六个月高位后,周一随着美国与伊朗敌对行动缓和的希望回落,但也门胡塞武装对沙特的持续袭击令供应担忧仍在。据路透社报道,卡塔尔调解人员周日抵达德黑兰,协助缓和地区紧张局势。

美联储将于10月27日至28日召开货币政策会议。交易员普遍预计本周维持利率不变;据CME的FedWatch工具,市场对12月加息的预期概率为77%。美联储密切关注的个人消费支出(PCE)价格指数将在决议次日公布。

Follow-Up: Gold Reclaims $4,000 on Monday as Oil Retreats and Traders Await the Fed Decision

Spot gold rose 0.4% to $4,010.51 an ounce by 0544 GMT on Monday, reclaiming the $4,000 mark after hitting its lowest level since mid-July in the previous session, Reuters reported. U.S. gold futures for December delivery gained 0.4% to $4,024.00. Bullion had posted a 4% weekly fall on Friday, its steepest weekly decline since June.

"The jump that we've seen is mostly symptomatic of the kind of relief provided by a lower oil price, but one that could easily be capped as markets position for the FOMC decision in a couple of days' time," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial market analyst at Capital.com. "Gold will continue to trade as a function of interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks." Oil prices fell on Monday after surging to near six-month highs last week, amid hopes of easing hostilities between the United States and Iran, although ongoing attacks on Saudi Arabia by Yemen's Houthis kept supply concerns in focus. Qatari mediators were in Tehran on Sunday to help de-escalate regional tensions in coordination with the United States, an official briefed on the situation told Reuters.

Markets await the Federal Reserve's policy meeting on October 27-28. Traders largely expect the central bank to leave rates unchanged this week, while expectations for a hike in December stand at 77%, according to CME's FedWatch tool. The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures data, a key gauge for the central bank as it targets 2% inflation, is due the day after the decision. Although gold is typically seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates tend to diminish the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:瑞士铸造的12.5公斤金条,Ank Kumar摄,CC BY-SA 4.0(Wikimedia Commons);A 12.5 kg gold bar minted in Switzerland, photo by Ank Kumar, CC BY-SA 4.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

本事件进展Story Timeline
  1. 2026-10-23 12:29"黑色星期四"蔓延至贵金属:黄金失守4100美元关口白银期货重挫逾5%
  2. 2026-10-25 07:50跟进:金价跌破每盎司4000美元:现货金收于3993.96美元创7月以来新低 全周跌约4%
  3. 2026-10-26 03:52跟进:金价周一收复4,000美元:油价回落缓和通胀忧虑,市场静待美联储决议本篇
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