密歇根州立大学最新民调：本森州长选战优势扩大 参议员选战差距在误差范围内

密歇根州英厄姆县东兰辛市消息，密歇根州立大学公共政策与社会研究所10月26日公布最新《州情调查》，民主党人、现任州务卿乔斯琳·本森在州长选战中以53.3%对40.9%领先共和党众议员约翰·詹姆斯，未决定选民占5.9%。在联邦参议员选战中，民主党人阿卜杜勒·赛义德以47.7%对44.2%略高于共和党人迈克·罗杰斯，未决定选民占8.2%。调查由YouGov于10月2日至19日访问1000名密歇根成年人完成，可能选民样本为836人，误差范围为正负4.4个百分点，因此参议员选战3.5个百分点的差距落在误差范围内，不宜据此断言谁已领先。研究所所长马特·格罗斯曼指出，两场选战的差距已经拉大，中间选民更倾向于支持本森而非赛义德；赛义德在30岁以下选民中的表现好于本森。8月调查中，本森领先9个百分点，赛义德领先5.5个百分点。

New MSU poll: Benson's lead grows in governor's race; Senate race gap within margin of error

East Lansing, Ingham County, Michigan — Michigan State University's Institute for Public Policy and Social Research released its latest State of the State Survey on Oct. 26: Democrat Jocelyn Benson, the current secretary of state, leads Republican Rep. John James 53.3% to 40.9% in the governor's race, with 5.9% undecided. In the U.S. Senate race, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed edges Republican Mike Rogers 47.7% to 44.2%, with 8.2% undecided. The survey was conducted by YouGov from Oct. 2 to 19 among 1,000 Michigan adults, with a likely-voter sample of 836 and a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points; the Senate race's 3.5-point gap therefore falls within the margin of error and should not be read as a settled lead. Institute director Matt Grossmann noted that the gaps in both races have widened, with swing voters leaning more toward Benson than El-Sayed, and El-Sayed performing better than Benson among voters under 30. In the August survey, Benson led by 9 points and El-Sayed by 5.5 points.

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：密歇根州议会大厦，CC BY-SA 2.0，来源 Wikimedia Commons

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