跟进：巴西决选计票恢复公布：已计逾5%选票，卢拉以51.16%对48.84%领先Flávio Bolsonaro

巴西巴西利亚——巴西总统决选计票在最高法院下令暂停两小时后恢复公布。据路透社报道，截至当地时间10月25日晚间，已统计的选票略高于5%，现任总统 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 以约51.16%的得票率领先右翼参议员 Flávio Bolsonaro 的约48.84%，选情仍然胶着，最终结果尚未确定。

Flávio Bolsonaro 现年45岁，是因2022年败选后策动政变被判27年监禁的前总统 Jair Bolsonaro 之子。路透社指出，Flávio Bolsonaro 若胜选，将延续拉丁美洲多国亲近美国总统特朗普的右翼候选人胜选浪潮；卢拉若赢得第四个总统任期，则被其支持者视为抵挡华盛顿影响的屏障，其政府此前在贸易与安全政策上多次与美方交锋。

本轮计票此前因投票延长裁决一度暂停。最高法院法官 Cristiano Zanin 接受卢拉竞选团队的请求，以 Bahia 州三座城市公共交通出现问题为由下令延长投票；裁决在当地时间17时关站时点前后落地，部分已关站的投票站随即开始计票，尚未关站的投票站可继续接收选民两小时，选举法院（TSE）为此暂停公布计票两小时。此前，Bahia 州一座法院已下令逮捕 Salvador 市一名高级交通官员，指控其下令削减该市选举日公交车队；卢拉在裁决前曾说，本次选举中「正在发生令人发指的事」。Flávio Bolsonaro 一方也曾以恶劣天气为由，要求至少三个州延长投票。

两名法律专家对路透社表示，延长投票与公共交通受扰的指控可能引发法律挑战。圣保罗宪法律师 Vera Chemim 说：「视选举结果而定，落败一方有可能试图挑战结果，理由是许多人即便在延长后的截止时间也无法投票。」Flávio Bolsonaro 的弟弟 Eduardo Bolsonaro 在其 YouTube 频道直播中质疑最高法院介入联邦选举法院主管的程序称：「奇怪，不是吗？很难想象这能有什么法律依据。这无助于公信力。」

华盛顿也在关注这场决选。路透社周六披露，特朗普政府国务院内部曾有协助博索纳罗家族重返权力的行动；特朗普本人至今未公开支持任何一方，他周日在华盛顿被记者问及希望谁胜出时说：「我不想谈这个，但我们正在关注。」计票仍在继续，GSM 将在选举法院公布更完整的计票结果后继续跟进。

Follow-Up: Brazil Runoff Count Resumes: Lula Leads Flávio Bolsonaro 51.16% to 48.84% With Over 5% Counted

BRASÍLIA, Brazil — Vote counting in Brazil's presidential runoff resumed on Sunday evening after a two-hour pause ordered following a Supreme Court ruling, and with just over 5% of tallies reported, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva was leading right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro with around 51.16% versus 48.84%, according to Reuters. The race remained close and no winner had been determined.

Flávio Bolsonaro, 45, is the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is serving a 27-year prison sentence for plotting a coup after his 2022 defeat. A victory for Bolsonaro would extend a wave of right-wing victories for Latin American candidates friendly to U.S. President Donald Trump, while a fourth mandate for Lula would be a bulwark against Washington's influence in the region, as his government has pushed back on U.S. trade and security policies, Reuters reported.

The count had been paused after Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin accepted a request by Lula's campaign to extend voting, pointing to public transportation issues in three cities in the state of Bahia. The decision landed around the 5 p.m. Brasília time cutoff; stations that had already closed began tallying, while stations that had not closed could keep receiving voters for an additional two hours, and the electoral court, or TSE, paused the count for two hours. Earlier on Sunday, a court in Bahia ordered the arrest of a top transportation official in the city of Salvador over allegations that he directed a reduction in the city's bus fleet. In comments before the ruling, Lula said "something abominable is happening" in this election. Flávio Bolsonaro had also asked for voting to be extended in at least three states, citing bad weather.

Two legal experts told Reuters the extension and the transportation allegations could draw legal challenges. "Depending on the election result, there is a possibility that the losing side might attempt to contest the outcome, arguing that many people were unable to vote even with the extended deadline," said Vera Chemim, a constitutional lawyer in São Paulo. The senator's brother Eduardo Bolsonaro, speaking on a live stream on his YouTube channel, questioned why the Supreme Court had ruled in a process overseen by the federal electoral court: "Strange, isn't it? It's hard to imagine what the legal basis for this could possibly be. It doesn't inspire credibility."

Washington is also watching. Reuters on Saturday revealed a campaign within Trump's State Department to help get the Bolsonaros back in power. Trump has so far declined to endorse a candidate; asked on Sunday who he hoped would win, he told reporters in Washington: "I don't want to get into that, but we are watching." Counting continues, and GSM will follow up as the TSE releases fuller results.

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：图：巴西总统决选候选人、参议员 Flávio Bolsonaro 在国会发言（资料照片，2026年5月）。Andressa Anholete／Agência Senado 摄，CC BY-SA 4.0，经 Wikimedia Commons 发布。/ Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, candidate in Brazil's presidential runoff, speaking in Congress (file photo, May 2026). Photo by Andressa Anholete/Agência Senado, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons.

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