跟进：法国勒庞正式启动总统竞选：民调支持率32%至33.5%居首，承诺恢复秩序与边境管控

法国极右翼政党国民联盟（National Rally）领导人勒庞（Marine Le Pen）10月25日在法国中部城市 Orléans 正式启动竞选，宣布角逐明年举行的法国总统选举。她在支持者集会上承诺恢复秩序与国家信心，把自己定位为带领法国走出经济、社会与安全危机的最佳人选。勒庞说：「我们经历的不是世界末日，而是一个世界的终结——他们的世界。」Orléans 是15世纪民族英雄圣女贞德（Joan of Arc）的故乡，勒庞选择在此发表首场竞选演说。据路透社报道，勒庞目前是明年大选民调的领跑者。

同日公布的一项民意调查显示，勒庞的支持率为32%至33.5%，大幅领先最接近的对手、极左翼领导人 Jean-Luc Mélenchon 的17%；多项调查显示，若两人进入定于明年5月初举行的第二轮投票，勒庞将轻松获胜。法国上周末因生活成本与不平等引发的大规模抗议演变为抢掠与破坏，本站此前已连续报道工会号召10月31日再游行、11月5日全国罢工的进展；路透社指出，街头动荡客观上为勒庞带来了支持率提振，选民正从主流政党流向政治光谱的两端。

政策方面，勒庞承诺对治安实行「零容忍」，称恢复安全是国家的首要职责；移民问题上持强硬立场，承诺恢复边境管控、自动驱逐有犯罪记录的外国人，并打击帮派与毒品贩运。经济上，她承诺控制支出、降低企业税负、减少官僚程序、支持工业、创新与人工智能，并拒绝进一步提高退休年龄。对欧洲政策上，她没有主张法国退出欧盟，但表示将削弱布鲁塞尔的影响、收回边境与法律的国家控制权、把法国利益放在首位，包括避免卷入外国战争。她以「未来属于我们」作结，并带领挥舞旗帜的人群齐唱法国国歌。

本次大会意在展示国民联盟高层的团结：Jordan Bardella 再次当选党主席，并被勒庞摆出总理人选的姿态。勒庞本人仍面临法律变量：她此前因挪用欧洲议会资金被定罪，正在上诉，若判决维持，她竞选期间可能须佩戴电子脚镣。勒庞2011年从父亲 Jean-Marie Le Pen 手中接过政党领导权，十多年来致力于软化政党形象、把选民基础扩展到传统反移民群体之外。

Follow-Up: France's Le Pen Launches Presidential Bid, Leading Polls at 32%-33.5% With Pledges on Order and Borders

Marine Le Pen, leader of France's far-right National Rally and the frontrunner in next year's French presidential election, formally launched her campaign on Sunday in Orléans, central France, promising to restore order and national confidence. Addressing cheering supporters in the home city of Joan of Arc, she cast herself as best placed to navigate mounting economic, social and security crises. 'We are not living through the end of the world but the end of a world, their world,' she said of her political opponents, according to Reuters.

An opinion poll published Sunday put Le Pen on 32% to 33.5%, well ahead of her nearest rival, hard-left leader Jean-Luc Mélenchon on 17%, and surveys suggest she would easily defeat Mélenchon in a run-off expected in early May. Mass protests over living costs and inequality last weekend descended into looting and vandalism — a line of unrest GSM has been following, with unions calling further marches on October 31 and a nationwide strike on November 5 — and the street turmoil has given Le Pen a boost as voters desert mainstream parties for the political extremes.

Le Pen promised 'zero tolerance' policing, saying restoring security was the state's first duty, and a hard line on immigration: restored border controls, automatic expulsion of foreign criminals and crackdowns on gangs and drug traffickers. On the economy she pledged spending restraint, lower business taxes, reduced bureaucracy and support for industry, innovation and artificial intelligence, and rejected further increases in the retirement age. On Europe she stopped short of advocating a French exit from the EU but said she would roll back Brussels' influence and restore national control over borders and laws. 'The future belongs to us,' she said, before leading the crowd in the national anthem.

The congress showcased unity at the top of the National Rally, with Jordan Bardella re-elected party president and presented as Le Pen's choice for prime minister. Le Pen herself could have to campaign wearing an ankle tag after being convicted of embezzling European Parliament funds; she is appealing the verdict. She inherited the party from her father, Jean-Marie Le Pen, in 2011 and has spent more than a decade softening its image and broadening its appeal.

来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）

图片来源：法国国民联盟领导人勒庞2026年3月23日摄（资料图）。图：Elekes Andor，CC BY 4.0，经维基共享资源 / Marine Le Pen on March 23, 2026 (file photo). Photo by Elekes Andor, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

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