德国YouGov民调：仅23%选民相信默茨执政联盟能撑到2029年大选
民调机构YouGov为德新社（dpa）所做、10月25日（周日）公布的调查显示，德国选民对总理弗里德里希·默茨（Friedrich Merz）领导的执政联盟能维持多久普遍不乐观：2202名受访选民中，仅23%相信联盟党（基民盟/基社盟）与社民党的联合政府能撑到2029年联邦议院选举。
13%的受访者预计执政联盟今年内就会垮台，44%认为会在两年内结束，20%未作答。就连执政两党自己的支持者也多数看衰：联盟党支持者中53%、社民党支持者中46%预计政府会提前散伙。
这项民调公布前，执政两党刚在9月的地方选举中双双遭受重挫，德国选择党（AfD）则大幅进账，围绕改革与政党路线的争执随之加剧。默茨此前曾表示，他对社民党的耐心已经耗尽。
来源：GSM·美国
Only 23% of German Voters Expect Merz's Coalition to Last Until 2029, YouGov Poll Finds
A YouGov poll for the dpa news agency, published on Sunday, October 25, found German voters deeply pessimistic about how long Chancellor Friedrich Merz's governing coalition will last: of 2,202 eligible voters surveyed, just 23% believe the government of the Union (CDU/CSU) and the Social Democrats will survive until the 2029 federal election.
Thirteen percent of respondents expect the coalition to collapse this year and 44% expect it to end within two years, while 20% gave no answer. Majorities inside both camps doubt the government's longevity, with 53% of Union supporters and 46% of SPD supporters predicting a premature breakup.
The poll follows heavy September state-election losses for both coalition parties and strong gains by the Alternative for Germany (AfD), which have intensified disputes over reforms and party strategy. Merz has said his patience with the SPD is exhausted.
Source: GSM·USA
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：德国总理默茨2025年6月在白宫与美国总统特朗普举行双边会晤（资料图）。图片：白宫官方照片，公共领域
