《今日美国》点名怀俄明州众议院第11选区:深红州里罕见的摇摆席位

《今日美国》10月24日刊出的“50州各一场关键中期选战”盘点,把怀俄明州众议院第11选区的选战列为该州最值得关注的一场。该选区今年的候选人包括共和党人丹·麦金托什、民主党人布里特妮·坦南特和自由党人瑞安·肖伦伯格。盘点指出,这是全美最共和党的州里罕见的摇摆选区:选民已在初选中淘汰了多名属于自由党团(Freedom Caucus)的州众议员,如果民主党人能在第11选区取胜,将进一步推动州议会向中间移动——即便民主党在州众议院仍只有寥寥数席。这一判断的背景是怀俄明州议会两院目前均由共和党以绝对多数主导,个别席位的易手并不会改变多数党归属,但在一个意识形态光谱相对单一的议会里,摇摆选区的走向被视为衡量保守派选民今年求变程度的风向标:初选中的换人潮已经说明一部分选民希望换血,而11月3日大选日的第11选区结果,将检验这种求变情绪是否会延伸到两党对决中。盘点同时提醒,摇摆席位的归属仍取决于当地选民的投票率与候选人本身的动员能力,任何一方都不应提前庆祝。
USA Today Spotlights Wyoming House District 11: A Rare Swing Seat in the Deep-Red State
USA Today's Oct. 24 roundup of one key midterm race in each of the 50 states listed the contest for Wyoming House District 11 as the state's most notable race. The candidates this year are Republican Dan McIntosh, Democrat Britney Tennant and Libertarian Ryan Shollenberger. The roundup calls it a rare toss-up district in the most Republican state in the country: voters already ousted several Freedom Caucus state representatives in the primaries, and a Democratic win in District 11 would further move the legislature toward the center, even though Democrats hold only a handful of seats in the state House. The context is that Republicans hold supermajorities in both chambers of the Wyoming Legislature, so a single seat changing hands would not alter majority control; but in a legislature with a relatively narrow ideological spectrum, the direction of a swing district is seen as a barometer of how much change conservative voters want this year. The primary turnover already showed that some voters want new blood, and the Nov. 3 result in District 11 will test whether that appetite for change extends to the general election. The roundup also notes that the seat's outcome still depends on local turnout and the candidates' own mobilization, and that neither side should celebrate early.
来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)
图片来源:图:怀俄明州议会大厦(资料图)。照片:Wikimedia Commons(CC BY 2.0)。Wyoming State Capitol (file photo). Photo: Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0).

