跟进：伊朗警告若美以恢复空袭，将打击海湾国家机场与管道等民用目标
据《华尔街日报》 10 月 23 日独家报道，伊朗已发出明确警告：如果美国和以色列重启空战，德黑兰的报复将不限于美军基地和军舰，而将扩大至波斯湾邻国的机场、管道等民用经济目标。
报道称，这些警告通过公开渠道和私下外交渠道发出，意在以强硬言辞威慑任何打击；但同时也显示出真实威胁——伊朗仍保有可观的导弹和无人机库存及使用能力。分析师估计伊朗拥有数百至数千枚弹道导弹；美国和地区官员认为，伊朗已利用库存部件、在地下设施中恢复了有限数量的弹道导弹生产。
伊朗官员向调解人表示，新一轮美军打击将触发对海湾经济体的更广泛攻击；据知情人士向《华尔街日报》透露，伊朗还威胁更致命地打击美军，包括试图击沉美军舰、杀伤舰员。
伊朗外长阿拉格奇在《金融时报》撰文称，续袭击"将置平民生命和地区国家福祉于巨大风险"。伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队负责政治事务的副司令贾瓦尼本周三称，伊朗有能力切断霍尔木兹海峡下方的海底互联网光缆（伊朗此前已点名霍尔木兹海峡下方的 7 条海底光缆）。
在战争初期，伊朗曾重创美军空军基地、大使馆和位于巴林的美军第五舰队总部；还打击了阿联酋的能源工业设施、卡塔尔一座大型天然气厂，以及迪拜、科威特和巴林的机场。
五角大楼 9 月称，美军已摧毁伊朗高达 90% 的无人机、弹道导弹和海军工业基础。美方正在把更多军人和外交人员撤出危险区域，"乔治·华盛顿"号航母正在装载弹药、准备战机，为可能的新的军事行动做准
备。华盛顿智库国际政策中心伊朗问题专家西娜·图西说："德黑兰现在的共识是，威慑需要让对手立即、持续、实质性地付出代价。"
（GSM 据《华尔街日报》）
来源：GSM·美国
Iran Threatens Wider Strikes on Gulf Airports, Pipelines and Civilian Targets If U.S. Attacks
Iran has issued a stark warning: if the United States and Israel restart their air campaign, Tehran will respond with strikes not only on American bases and warships but on airports, pipelines and other civilian targets in the neighboring countries of the Persian Gulf, the Wall Street Journal exclusively reported on October 23.
The warnings, issued publicly and in private diplomatic communications, are aimed at deterring any attack with tough talk — but they also signal a real threat, as Iran retains significant missile and drone stocks and the ability to use them. Analysts estimate Iran has hundreds to thousands of ballistic missiles, and U.S. and regional officials believe it has resumed production of ballistic missiles in limited numbers using stockpiled components and working in underground facilities.
Iranian officials told mediators that another U.S. attack would trigger a broader assault on Gulf economies, according to people familiar with the communications who spoke to the Journal. Tehran has also threatened more lethal attacks on American forces, including attempts to sink U.S. warships and kill their crews, the people said.
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi wrote in the Financial Times that renewed attacks "will put civilian lives and the well-being of all regional states and the global economy at great risk." Brigadier General Yadollah Javani, the Revolutionary Guard's deputy commander for political affairs, said Wednesday that Iran could cut submarine internet cables passing beneath the Strait of Hormuz.
In the opening phase of the war, Iran inflicted significant damage on U.S. air bases, embassies and the headquarters of the U.S. 5th Fleet in Bahrain. It also hit energy and industrial facilities in the United Arab Emirates, a major gas plant in Qatar and airports in Dubai, Kuwait and Bahrain.
The Pentagon said in September the U.S. had destroyed up to 90 percent of Iran's drone, ballistic missile and naval industrial base. Washington is trying to move more servicemembers and diplomatic staff out of harm's way across the region; aboard the aircraft carrier USS George Washington, American forces are loading munitions and readying aircraft for possible fresh action. "The consensus in Tehran now believes that deterrence requires imposing immediate, sustained and substantial costs on its adversaries," said Sina Toossi, an Iran expert at the Center for International Policy, a Washington think tank.
(GSM, based on the Wall Street Journal)
Source: GSM · America
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：美军 B-52 轰炸机飞越波斯湾上空（资料图）。照片：Senior Airman Keifer Bowes（美国空军），公有领域，经 Wikimedia Commons。 / A U.S. Air Force B-52H Stratofortress in flight over the Persian Gulf (file photo). Photo: Senior Airman Keifer Bowes, U.S. Air Force, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons.
