世界气象组织警告强厄尔尼诺临近：海温或高出平均3.8摄氏度 联合国称约5000万人或面临饥饿加剧
据联合国日内瓦新闻室10月21日发布的人道协调厅与世界气象组织（WMO）联合记者会实录，WMO秘书长 Celeste Saulo 表示，2026年11月至2027年1月，热带太平洋海表温度可能高出平均值3.8摄氏度，这一数值在四十年的监测图上前所未见，峰值预计出现在今年年底前后。
联合国紧急救济协调员 Tom Fletcher 在同一场记者会上表示，强厄尔尼诺可能使约5,000万人面临饥饿加剧。据非洲开发银行估算，非洲国家可能蒙受100亿至200亿美元损失，国内生产总值下降1至2个百分点。
（图为1997年厄尔尼诺海温异常资料图，美国国家海洋和大气管理局发布。）
WMO Warns of Strong El Niño Ahead: Sea Temperatures Could Run 3.8°C Above Average; UN Says Some 50 Million People Could Face Worsening Hunger
The secretary-general of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), Celeste Saulo, said that from November 2026 to January 2027, tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures could run 3.8 degrees Celsius above average — a value never seen in forty years of monitoring charts — with the peak expected around the end of this year, according to the transcript of a joint OCHA-WMO press conference released by the UN office in Geneva on October 21.
UN Emergency Relief Coordinator Tom Fletcher told the same briefing that a strong El Niño could leave some 50 million people facing worsening hunger. The African Development Bank estimates African countries could lose $10–$20 billion, with GDP falling by 1 to 2 percentage points.
(Pictured: sea surface temperature anomalies during the 1997 El Niño, NOAA file image.)
发布：GSM·美国（发布链接）
图片来源：NOAA · Public domain
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