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北佛罗里达大学民调:佛州州长与参议员选战双双胶着,Byron Donalds 仅领先 2 个百分点

2026-10-21 · 各州 · GSM News

北佛罗里达大学公共舆论研究实验室(PORL)10月21日公布的最新全州民调显示,佛罗里达州州长与联邦参议员两场关键选战均进入胶着状态。本次民调访问约1471名选民。参议员竞选中,共和党现任参议员 Ashley Moody 以49%对45%领先民主党候选人 Angie Nixon;州长竞选中,共和党候选人 Byron Donalds 以49%对47%领先民主党候选人 David Jolly,差距在约3个百分点的误差范围内。

民调负责人 Sean Freeder 指出,与7月民调(Donalds 领先5个百分点、Moody 领先8个百分点)相比,两场选战均明显收紧,「有证据表明选情正朝着对民主党更有利的方向发展」。若 Jolly 获胜,将成为1994年以来首位当选佛州州长的民主党人;若 Donalds 获胜,将成为全美第四位当选的黑人州长,但民调显示他在黑人选民中的支持率仅约9%至10%,与 Moody 相当。佛州67个县中已有35个县展开提前投票,选举日为11月3日。

University of North Florida Poll: Florida Governor's and Senate Races Both Tight, Byron Donalds Ahead by Just 2 Points

A statewide poll released Oct. 21 by the University of North Florida's Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL), surveying about 1,471 voters, shows Florida's governor's and U.S. Senate races both tightening. In the Senate race, Republican incumbent Ashley Moody leads Democrat Angie Nixon 49 percent to 45 percent. In the governor's race, Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly 49 percent to 47 percent, within the roughly 3-point margin of error.

Poll director Sean Freeder said both races have narrowed markedly since July, when Donalds led by 5 points and Moody by 8, adding that there is evidence the environment is shifting in Democrats' favor. A Jolly win would make him Florida's first Democratic governor elected since 1994; a Donalds win would make him the fourth Black governor elected in U.S. history, though the poll shows him drawing only about 9 to 10 percent support among Black voters, similar to Moody. Early voting is under way in 35 of Florida's 67 counties, and Election Day is Nov. 3.

来源:GSM·美国(原文链接)

图片来源:Wikimedia Commons 授权图(佛罗里达州议会大厦,资料图)

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