NAR：9月待完成房屋销售环比大跌7.3% 指数降至2001年有记录以来最低
华盛顿——美国全国房地产经纪人协会（National Association of Realtors，NAR）10月20日发布9月待完成房屋销售（Pending Home Sales）数据：全美待完成销售环比下降7.3%，同比下降11.3%，四个地区环比与同比全线下跌。路透社调查此前预期仅下降0.5%，实际跌幅远超预期。据路透社与《华尔街日报》报道，待完成销售指数跌至66.0，为2001年该数据系列开始统计以来的最低水平；8月指数为71.2。
待完成销售统计的是已签约但尚未完成过户的房屋交易，被视为成屋销售的先行指标，通常在一到两个月后转化为正式成交。分地区看，9月环比跌幅以西部最大，达9.2%（同比跌15.0%）；南部环比跌8.2%（同比跌12.0%）；中西部环比跌6.5%（同比跌8.7%）；东北部环比跌4.2%（同比跌9.4%）。
NAR 首席经济学家 Lawrence Yun 表示，9月市场状况走弱的原因是房贷利率快速上升；尽管就业增长与收入增加能够支撑购房，住房负担能力受房贷利率变化的影响更大。他说，鉴于房贷利率的涨幅已经远超美联储短期利率的加息幅度，房贷利率可能正在见顶，但能源价格上涨及其带来的通胀压力高度不确定。
分地区指数看，西部为49.3，南部为79.2，中西部为67.3，东北部为59.0。据房地美数据，上周30年期固定房贷平均利率为7.40%，处近三年最高水平。
Yun 还表示，尽管取得房贷不易，法拍等困境房产数量有限，正在保证房价保持稳定；买卖双方可能都在等待，等房贷利率出现有利变化后再行动。（GSM 据 NAR 新闻稿与路透社报道）
NAR: Pending Home Sales Fell 7.3% in September as Index Hit Lowest Level Since 2001
WASHINGTON — The National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported on October 20 that pending home sales fell 7.3% in September from the previous month and 11.3% from a year earlier, with all four U.S. regions posting monthly and annual declines. The drop was far steeper than the 0.5% decline expected in a Reuters survey. According to Reuters and The Wall Street Journal, the Pending Home Sales Index fell to 66.0, its lowest level since the series began in 2001, down from 71.2 in August.
Pending home sales count contracts signed but not yet closed and are considered a leading indicator of existing-home sales, typically converting to closings within one to two months. By region, the West saw the largest monthly drop at 9.2% (down 15.0% year over year), followed by the South at 8.2% (down 12.0%), the Midwest at 6.5% (down 8.7%) and the Northeast at 4.2% (down 9.4%).
NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said market conditions weakened in September due to fast-rising mortgage rates, noting that while job growth and income gains can support home purchases, housing affordability is more affected by changes in mortgage rates. He said mortgage rates could be topping out given that they have already risen much more than the Federal Reserve's short-term rate hikes, though rising energy prices and the resulting inflationary pressure are highly uncertain.
Regional index readings were 49.3 in the West, 79.2 in the South, 67.3 in the Midwest and 59.0 in the Northeast. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate reached 7.40 percent last week, its highest level in nearly three years, according to Freddie Mac.
Yun added that despite the difficulty of obtaining a mortgage, the limited number of distressed properties is ensuring steady home prices, and that buyers and sellers may simply be holding back until mortgage rates move favorably. (GSM, based on the NAR release and Reuters reporting)
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：图：纽约州 Long Island 郊区住宅区航拍（资料图）。Felton Davis 摄，CC BY 2.0，经 Wikimedia Commons。Photo: Aerial view of suburban neighborhoods on Long Island, New York (file photo). Felton Davis, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons.
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