加州富豪税提案民调支持率未过半：谷歌联合创始人布林已出资逾1亿美元反对
一项 10 月 19 日公布的民调显示，加州拟对亿万富翁一次性征收财富税的第 40 号提案（Proposition 40）支持率未过半数。Citrin Center 与 POLITICO 的调查显示，46% 的可能选民支持该提案、43% 反对，约一成尚未决定；加州公共政策研究所（PPIC）上月的一项民调则显示，支持率曾达 52%。
第 40 号提案由医疗工会 SEIU-UHW 提出，将于 11 月 3 日交由选民表决。提案拟对 2026 年 1 月 1 日时居住在加州、净资产超过 10 亿美元的居民，按其总资产一次性征收 5% 的税，预计可筹集约 1,000 亿美元，其中九成用于医疗，其余用于教育与食品援助。
反对阵营由谷歌联合创始人 Sergey Brin 领衔。据州政府申报文件与多家媒体报道，Brin 已累计出资逾 1 亿美元（约 1.02 亿美元）资助反对该税的政治行动委员会 Building a Better California，其中最近一笔 2,000 万美元于今年 8 月披露。据 POLITICO Playbook 报道，这一数额约为 Brin 过去 20 年政治支出的 40 倍。Alphabet 前首席执行官 Eric Schmidt、加密货币公司 Ripple 联合创始人 Chris Larsen 亦分别出资八位数加入反对阵营；反对各方围绕第 40 号提案及相关提案的筹款总额已超过 3 亿美元。
按彭博亿万富翁指数，Brin 的身家约为 2,700 亿美元。若第 40 号提案通过，按 5% 税率测算，他面临的税额接近 140 亿美元。据报道，Brin 已购入内华达州一侧太浩湖畔的住宅，并将住所登记迁往内华达州；提案以今年 1 月 1 日的居住状态判定纳税资格，提案设计者称，设定这一日期意在防止富豪在表决前迁离加州避税。
加州州长纽森已公开表示反对第 40 号提案，并称自己将投反对票。他同时支持旨在阻击财富税的第 42 号提案。
关联：纽森公开支持 42 号提案：不仅要狙击亿万富翁税，还要修宪永久禁止加州开征财富税
California Billionaire Tax Trails in New Poll as Google Co-Founder Sergey Brin Spends Over $100 Million to Defeat It
A poll released on October 19 shows California's proposed one-time billionaire wealth tax, Proposition 40, falling short of majority support. In the Citrin Center-POLITICO survey, 46 percent of likely voters backed the measure and 43 percent opposed it, with about one in ten undecided; a Public Policy Institute of California poll last month had put support at 52 percent.
Proposition 40, placed on the ballot by the healthcare workers union SEIU-UHW, goes before voters on November 3. It would impose a one-time 5 percent tax on the total assets of people who lived in California on January 1, 2026 and had a net worth above $1 billion, raising an estimated $100 billion, 90 percent of it for healthcare and the rest for education and food assistance.
The opposition is led by Google co-founder Sergey Brin. According to state filings and multiple news reports, Brin has contributed more than $100 million (about $102 million) to Building a Better California, the political committee fighting the tax, including a $20 million contribution disclosed in August. POLITICO Playbook reported that the sum is roughly 40 times Brin's political spending over the previous two decades. Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt and Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen have each added eight-figure contributions of their own, and groups opposing Proposition 40 and backing related measures have raised more than $300 million in total.
Bloomberg's billionaires index puts Brin's net worth at about $270 billion. If Proposition 40 passes, a 5 percent levy would put his tax bill at nearly $14 billion. Brin has reportedly bought a home on the Nevada side of Lake Tahoe and now lists Nevada as his residence; the measure uses January 1, 2026 residency to determine who owes the tax, a date its architects say was chosen to prevent wealthy residents from leaving the state ahead of the vote to avoid it.
Governor Gavin Newsom has said he opposes Proposition 40 and will vote no. He also backs Proposition 42, a rival measure designed to block the wealth tax.
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图片来源：谷歌联合创始人 Sergey Brin 2026 年 10 月在白宫出席活动。照片：白宫官方照片，公共领域，经维基共享资源／Google co-founder Sergey Brin at the White House in October 2026. Official White House photo, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
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