澳门经济学会：第三季GDP料按年跌约2% 博彩收入连续两个月同比下滑
澳门——澳门经济学会 10 月 15 日发表最新经济展望，预测澳门第三季度本地生产总值约 1,029 亿澳门元（约 128 亿美元），按年下跌约 2%，预测收缩区间为 0.8% 至 2.7%，主要原因是博彩业表现转弱。
学会引述的数据显示，澳门博彩毛收入 8 月为 219 亿澳门元、9 月为 180 亿澳门元（约 22.4 亿美元），两个月均按年下跌 1.2%；日均博彩收入由 8 月的约 7.06 亿澳门元降至 9 月的约 6.02 亿澳门元。访澳旅客方面，8 月总旅客量按年增加 6.1%，其中即日旅客增加 11.7%，留宿旅客则减少 2.4%。
学会的经济景气指数 8 月为 6.3 点、9 月为 6.1 点，餐饮与零售消费保持平稳，失业率维持低位。尽管第三季料收缩，学会估计澳门今年前三季经济仍按年增长 1.5% 至 2.1%，累计本地生产总值约 3,118 亿至 3,138 亿澳门元；其中第一季增长 7.2%、第二季增长 0.3%。学会认为，国际客源市场、航空运力改善以及澳门与香港更紧密的旅游合作，可望为经济提供支持。
Macau Economic Association Sees Q3 GDP Shrinking About 2% as Gaming Revenue Softens
Macau — The Macau Economic Association (MEA) projected in its latest economic outlook, published on October 15, that Macau's gross domestic product for the third quarter of 2026 would fall about 2 per cent year-on-year to an estimated MOP102.9 billion (US$12.8 billion), with the projected contraction ranging from 0.8 per cent to 2.7 per cent, citing weaker performance in the casino sector.
Gross gaming revenue was down 1.2 per cent year-on-year in both August and September, at MOP21.9 billion (US$2.72 billion) and MOP18 billion (US$2.24 billion) respectively, while average daily gaming revenue declined from MOP706 million in August to MOP602 million in September. Visitor arrivals in August rose 6.1 per cent year-on-year, with same-day visitors up 11.7 per cent and overnight arrivals down 2.4 per cent.
The association's Economic Sentiment Index stood at 6.3 points in August and 6.1 points in September, with restaurant and retail spending steady and unemployment low. Despite the projected third-quarter contraction, the MEA estimated the economy grew 1.5 to 2.1 per cent year-on-year in the first nine months of 2026, with cumulative GDP of between MOP311.8 billion and MOP313.8 billion, following growth of 7.2 per cent in the first quarter and 0.3 per cent in the second. It identified international visitor markets, improved air connectivity and closer tourism cooperation between Macau and Hong Kong as potential sources of support.
来源：GSM·美国（原文链接）
图片来源：永利澳门。照片：Ank Kumar／Wikimedia Commons（CC BY-SA 4.0）。Wynn Macau. Photo: Ank Kumar / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0).
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