Hamalgama民调：人民党与Vox合计可得212席、得票率53%
民调机构 Hamalgama Métrica 为 Vozpópuli 所做的民调10月11日发表：若现在举行大选，人民党将获得144个议席、得票率33.4%；Vox 党获得68席、得票率19.6%。两党合计212席、53%的选票，远超组阁所需的176席绝对多数。
执政的社会党（PSOE）将获得103席、得票率25.3%。如果这一结果在投票日重现，首相 Pedro Sánchez 将无法连任。桑切斯是在国会否决其住房法令后，于10月5日宣布提前大选的。
这项民调在10月5日至8日通过电话访问了1000人，正是竞选的头几天。
这是提前大选宣布第一周多份民调中的又一份。各家机构口径一致：人民党与 Vox 党组成多数是最可能的结果；社会党则把希望寄托在动员犹豫选民和首次投票者上。（来源：Hamalgama Métrica民调机构）
Hamalgama Poll: PP and Vox Would Win 212 Seats and 53% of the Vote
A poll by Hamalgama Métrica for Vozpópuli, published on October 11, gives the Popular Party (PP) 144 seats and 33.4% of the vote in the November 29 general election, with Vox on 68 seats and 19.6%. Together, the two right-wing parties would hold 212 seats and 53% of the vote, comfortably above the 176 needed for an absolute majority.
The governing Socialist Party (PSOE) would take 103 seats with 25.3% of the vote, a result that, if repeated on election day, would close the door to another term for Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, who called the snap election on October 5 after parliament rejected his housing decrees.
The survey is based on 1,000 telephone interviews conducted between October 5 and 8, the first days of the campaign.
The figures add to a consistent polling picture in the opening week after the election call: different pollsters agree that a PP-Vox majority is the most likely outcome, while the socialists bet on mobilising undecided and first-time voters. (Source: Hamalgama Métrica)
来源：Hamalgama Métrica民调机构
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图片来源：图：西班牙国会众议院议事厅（资料图）。Wikimedia Commons 开放授权。 / Photo: Chamber of Spain's Congress of Deputies (file photo). Wikimedia Commons, open license.
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