IMF预测：日本名义GDP 2027年将滑至全球第六 被印度与英国先后超越
据《读卖新闻》10月13日报道，国际货币基金组织（IMF）在10月发布的《世界经济展望》中预测，日本2027年名义国内生产总值（GDP）约为4.4676万亿美元，将被印度（约4.5211万亿美元，升至第四）与英国（约4.4889万亿美元，第五）先后超越，日本降至全球第六，这是自1968年以来首次。
IMF今年4月时曾预测印度与英国在2029年超越日本，此次将时间提前了两年。数据显示，日本今年名义GDP约为4.3419万亿美元，仍领先印度的约4.0602万亿美元，但差距快速缩小。
增长率预测方面，IMF预计印度今年增长7%、英国增长1.3%、日本增长0.7%。日本名义GDP排名曾在1968年升至全球第二，2010年被中国超越，2024年被德国超越降至第四。
IMF Projects Japan to Slip to World's No. 6 Economy in 2027, Overtaken by India and UK
The Yomiuri Shimbun reported on October 13 that the International Monetary Fund, in its October World Economic Outlook, projected Japan's nominal gross domestic product at about $4.4676 trillion in 2027, leaving Japan sixth in the world for the first time since 1968 after being overtaken by India, at about $4.5211 trillion in fourth place, and the United Kingdom, at about $4.4889 trillion in fifth.
The IMF had forecast in April that India and the UK would pass Japan in 2029, and has now moved that timeline forward by two years. Japan's nominal GDP this year is about $4.3419 trillion, still ahead of India's roughly $4.0602 trillion, but the gap is narrowing quickly.
The IMF forecasts growth this year of 7% for India, 1.3% for the UK and 0.7% for Japan. Japan's nominal GDP ranking rose to second in the world in 1968, was passed by China in 2010, and slipped to fourth after Germany overtook it in 2024.
图片来源：东京站丸之内站房与周边商务区夜景实景。图片来源：Wikimedia Commons，Kakidai 摄，CC BY-SA 4.0 授权
