《阿尔伯克基日报》终版民调：哈兰德以49%对42%领先新墨西哥州长竞选
《阿尔伯克基日报》10月11日公布了2026年新墨西哥州州长选举的第二份、也是最后一份民调：在可能投票的选民中，民主党候选人德布·哈兰德以49%对42%领先共和党候选人、前里奥兰乔市长格雷格·赫尔，另有9%的选民尚未决定。此时距11月3日大选仅剩23天，提前投票已于10月6日开始。
民调显示，两位候选人都获得了本党选民的强力支持：哈兰德获得85%的民主党选民支持，赫尔获得91%的共和党选民支持。在占登记选民四分之一以上的独立选民中，哈兰德以48%对34%领先。性别差距同样明显：哈兰德在女性选民中领先21个百分点，赫尔在男性选民中领先8个百分点。
这一结果与此前KOB 4电视台委托SurveyUSA于9月25日至30日所做的民调走势一致——当时哈兰德以47%对41%领先。哈兰德曾任拜登政府内政部长和联邦众议员，若当选，将成为美国历史上首位原住民女性州长；赫尔则主打公共安全、教育和基础设施议题，并获得前州长加里·约翰逊的背书。哈兰德本周还获得了前总统奥巴马的公开支持。
新墨西哥州州长职位因现任州长米歇尔·卢汉·格里沙姆任期届满而空缺。分析认为，女性、拉美裔和独立选民的取向将决定这场选举的最终走向。
信息来源：《阿尔伯克基日报》民调（经 Pete Dinelli 博客全文刊载）
Final Albuquerque Journal Poll: Haaland Leads New Mexico Governor's Race 49% to 42%
The Albuquerque Journal's second and final poll of the 2026 New Mexico governor's race, published Oct. 11, finds Democrat Deb Haaland leading Republican Gregg Hull 49% to 42% among likely voters, with 9% undecided. The survey comes 23 days before the Nov. 3 election; early voting began Oct. 6.
Both candidates hold their parties: Haaland takes 85% of Democrats and Hull 91% of Republicans. Among independents — now more than a quarter of New Mexico's registered voters — Haaland leads 48% to 34%. The gender gap is wide: Haaland leads by 21 points among women, while Hull leads by 8 points among men.
The result tracks an earlier KOB 4/SurveyUSA poll (Sept. 25-30) that had Haaland ahead 47% to 41%. Haaland, a former U.S. interior secretary and congresswoman, would become the first Native American woman elected governor in U.S. history if she wins. Hull, a former Rio Rancho mayor running on public safety, education and infrastructure, has been endorsed by former Gov. Gary Johnson; Haaland was endorsed this week by former President Barack Obama.
The seat is open as Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham reaches her term limit. Analysts say women, Hispanic voters and independents will decide the outcome.
Source: Albuquerque Journal poll, as published Oct. 11, 2026
图片来源：图：新墨西哥州议会大厦入口与州徽（圣菲）。摄影：N salazar，公有领域，来源：Wikimedia Commons
