明尼苏达联邦参议员选战民调胶着：弗拉纳根领先塔福亚4个百分点，均未过半
圣保罗消息：明尼苏达州联邦参议员选举进入最后三周，最新民调显示选情胶着。据《星论坛报》民调，民主党候选人、现任副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根以4个百分点的优势领先共和党候选人米歇尔·塔福亚；拉斯穆森报告10月5日至7日对856名可能选民的调查则显示弗拉纳根以48%对45%领先，未决选民占7%，抽样误差为正负3个百分点。两项民调中，两位候选人的支持率都未超过50%，未决选民可能成为决定胜负的关键。
塔福亚把竞选焦点放在沃尔茨-弗拉纳根政府时期的社会服务欺诈问题上，主张副州长应为州政府监管失职负责。弗拉纳根的支持者则批评塔福亚的竞选路线。民调还显示，民主党选民的投票热情高于共和党选民，而塔福亚面临竞选资金上的劣势。
另据报道，前国务卿希拉里·克林顿上周三宣布支持弗拉纳根，这是她在2026年国会选举中作出的首次背书。明尼苏达州的联邦参议员选举将于11月3日与全国中期选举同日投票。
信息来源：Star Tribune 民调、Rasmussen Reports（经 Newsmax 报道）https://www.newsmax.com/politics/poll-minnesota-midterms/2026/10/12/id/1272508
Polls Show Tight Minnesota Senate Race: Flanagan Leads Tafoya, Neither Above 50%
ST. PAUL — Minnesota's U.S. Senate race remains tight with just over three weeks until Election Day. A Star Tribune poll shows Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan, the state's lieutenant governor, leading Republican Michele Tafoya by 4 points. A separate Rasmussen Reports survey of 856 likely voters conducted Oct. 5–7 put Flanagan ahead 48% to 45%, with 7% undecided and a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. Neither candidate reached 50% in either poll, leaving undecided voters a potentially decisive role.
Tafoya has focused her campaign on fraud in social services during the administration of Gov. Tim Walz and Flanagan, arguing the lieutenant governor should be held accountable for failures in state oversight. Democrats report greater enthusiasm about voting than Republicans in the polling, while Tafoya faces a campaign funding disadvantage — challenges as she works to turn the fraud issue into a Republican victory in the state.
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton endorsed Flanagan last Wednesday, her first endorsement in the 2026 congressional elections, according to Newsmax. Minnesotans will vote in the Senate race on Nov. 3, alongside the national midterm elections.
Source: Star Tribune poll; Rasmussen Reports (via Newsmax) https://www.newsmax.com/politics/poll-minnesota-midterms/2026/10/12/id/1272508
图片来源：明尼苏达州议会大厦（圣保罗），CC BY-SA 4.0，摄影：McGhiever（Wikimedia Commons）
