阿拉斯加参议员选战白热化：民调显示佩尔托拉领先苏利文，特朗普周二赴瓦西拉助选
10月11日公布的一项 InsiderAdvantage 民调显示，在阿拉斯加州联邦参议员竞选中，民主党人玛丽·佩尔托拉（Mary Peltola）在排序复选计票后以 50% 比 48% 领先共和党现任参议员丹·沙利文（Dan Sullivan）。该民调针对可能投票的选民，误差幅度为正负 2.83 个百分点。选举预测机构"决策台"（Decision Desk）的模型也更看好佩尔托拉，给出其 63% 的胜选概率。
为替沙利文的第三任期竞选助阵，特朗普总统将于 10 月 13 日（周二）前往瓦西拉（Wasilla），在梅纳德纪念体育中心（Menard Memorial Sports Center）举行集会。据共和党全国委员会公布的日程，集会下午 2 点开始，特朗普预计 3 点半发表讲话。联邦航空管理局已发布周二下午 3 点 35 分至晚 10 点 15 分禁止无人机飞越埃尔门多夫-理查森联合基地（Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson）的限制令，并对安克雷奇和瓦西拉发布了"贵宾"（VIP）飞行预警，大范围临时管制措施可能随后出台。
与此同时，特朗普上周还在社交媒体上呼吁阿拉斯加选民在 11 月公投中废除排序复选投票制（Ranked Choice Voting），并已公开为沙利文背书。阿拉斯加的排序复选制正是佩尔托拉此前胜选的关键制度背景，这场参议员选战的走向备受全美关注。
Alaska Senate Race Heats Up: Poll Shows Peltola Leading Sullivan as Trump Heads to Wasilla Tuesday
An InsiderAdvantage poll released October 11 shows Democrat Mary Peltola leading Republican incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan 50% to 48% after ranked-choice tabulation in Alaska's U.S. Senate race. The survey of likely voters carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2.83 percentage points. The Decision Desk election forecasting model also favors Peltola, giving her a 63% chance of winning.
To bolster Sullivan's bid for a third term, President Trump will head to Wasilla on Tuesday, October 13, for a rally at the Menard Memorial Sports Center. According to the Republican National Committee's schedule, the rally begins at 2 p.m., with Trump expected to speak at 3:30 p.m. The Federal Aviation Administration has issued a drone flight restriction over Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson from 3:35 p.m. to 10:15 p.m. Tuesday and a VIP flight advisory for Anchorage and Wasilla, with broader temporary flight restrictions likely to follow.
Last week Trump also urged Alaska voters on social media to repeal ranked-choice voting in a November referendum, and he has publicly endorsed Sullivan. Ranked-choice voting was a key backdrop to Peltola's previous victories, and the outcome of this Senate race is being closely watched nationwide.
图片来源：图：阿拉斯加州联邦众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉官方肖像。美国国会官方照片，公有领域，来源：Wikimedia Commons
