德州 YouGov 民调：参议员选战塔拉里科 50% 对帕克斯顿 44% 州长选战胶着
10 月 6 日发布的 YouGov 民调显示，德州两大顶级选战均呈胶着态势：联邦参议员选举中，民主党人詹姆斯·塔拉里科（James Talarico）以 50% 对 44% 领先共和党人肯·帕克斯顿（Ken Paxton）；州长选举中，民主党人吉娜·伊诺霍萨（Gina Hinojosa）以 48% 对 47% 微弱领先共和党现任州长格雷格·阿博特（Greg Abbott）。
结果凸显了德州竞争的白热化。州众议员塔拉里科主打医疗与公共教育议题，竞选攻势凌厉；州检察长帕克斯顿则依仗共和党基本盘。考虑到误差范围，参议员选战在统计上仍属难分胜负。
州长选战中，伊诺霍萨对阿博特的微弱领先（在误差范围内）放在十年前难以想象。阿博特竞选团队驳斥了这份民调，称其内部民调显示州长领先。
两党都在向德州砸下重金，参议员选战吸引了全国关注与外部资金。提前投票将于本月晚些时候开始。
（来源：YouGov）
YouGov Poll: Talarico 50, Paxton 44 in Texas Senate Race; Hinojosa 48, Abbott 47 for Governor
A new YouGov poll released October 6 shows razor-thin margins in Texas' top races: in the U.S. Senate contest, Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton 50% to 44%, while in the governor's race, Democrat Gina Hinojosa edges Republican incumbent Greg Abbott 48% to 47%.
The results underscore how competitive Texas has become. Talarico, a state representative, has run a vigorous campaign focused on health care and public education, while Paxton, the state attorney general, is counting on the state's Republican base. The poll's margin of error means the Senate race remains a statistical toss-up.
In the governor's race, Hinojosa's narrow lead over Abbott — well within the margin of error — would have been unthinkable a decade ago. Abbott's campaign dismissed the poll, pointing to its own internal surveys showing the governor ahead.
Both parties are pouring money into Texas, with the Senate race drawing national attention and outside spending. Early voting begins later this month.
(Source: YouGov)
图片来源：图：位于奥斯汀的德克萨斯州议会大厦。摄影：LoneStarMike，CC BY 3.0，来源：Wikimedia Commons
