马里兰州长选战 UMBC 民调：摩尔 51% 对考克斯 24%
10 月 6 日发布的 UMBC 民调显示，马里兰州州长韦斯·摩尔（Wes Moore）以 51% 对 24% 领先共和党挑战者丹·考克斯（Dan Cox），另有相当比例选民尚未决定。据 Center Maryland 报道，随着中期选举进入最后一个月，摩尔处于明显有利位置。
交叉分析显示，寻求连任的民主党人摩尔在非裔选民、郊区女性和年轻选民中领先优势巨大；2022 年曾败给摩尔的考克斯在乡村选民和保守派中表现最好，但在人口密集的郊区大幅落后。
民调还发现摩尔的施政支持率保持正值，选民认可其政府在教育经费与经济发展方面的工作。考克斯竞选团队则主攻税收与生活成本议题。
鉴于马里兰州民主党登记选民的巨大优势，分析人士认为考克斯面临一场艰难的攻坚战。民调误差范围与尚未决定的选民群体，为选战最后几周留下了一定变数。
（来源：Center Maryland、UMBC 民调）
UMBC Poll: Moore Leads Cox 51-24 in Maryland Governor's Race
A new UMBC poll released October 6 shows Maryland Governor Wes Moore leading Republican challenger Dan Cox 51% to 24%, with a large share of voters undecided, Center Maryland reported. The poll suggests Moore remains in a strong position as the midterm campaign enters its final month.
Moore, a Democrat seeking reelection, holds commanding leads among Black voters, suburban women, and younger voters, according to the poll's crosstabs. Cox, who lost to Moore in 2022, performs best among rural voters and self-identified conservatives but trails badly in the state's populous suburbs.
The poll also found Moore's job approval rating above water, with voters crediting his administration's work on education funding and economic development. Cox's campaign has attacked Moore on taxes and the cost of living.
With Maryland's heavy Democratic registration advantage, analysts say Cox faces an uphill battle. The poll's margin of error and the sizable undecided bloc leave some room for movement in the campaign's closing weeks.
(Source: Center Maryland, UMBC poll)
图片来源：图：马里兰州议会大厦（安纳波利斯）。摄影：Cbaile19，CC0，来源：Wikimedia Commons
