堪萨斯州参议员选战被调为难分胜负 民调：汉密尔顿 48% 对马歇尔 45%
10 月 6 日，无党派选举分析机构库克政治报告（Cook Political Report）将堪萨斯州联邦参议员选战评级调整为“Toss-Up”（难分胜负），意味着这个曾被视为共和党铁票仓的席位已真正进入胶着状态。同期发布的 YouGov 民调显示，民主党挑战者亚当·汉密尔顿（Adam Hamilton）以 48% 对 45% 领先共和党现任参议员罗杰·马歇尔（Roger Marshall），差距在误差范围内。
马歇尔于 2020 年首次当选，正在竞选连任。他的民主党对手主打医疗费用与保护社会保障议题；马歇尔则强调与特朗普政府议程保持一致。
堪萨斯州自 1932 年以来就未再选出过民主党参议员，如今选情胶着本身已具历史意义。两党全国委员会都在向该州追加投入。
（来源：库克政治报告、YouGov）
Cook Political Report Moves Kansas Senate Race to Toss-Up; YouGov Poll Shows Hamilton 48, Marshall 45
The Cook Political Report on October 6 moved Kansas' U.S. Senate race to 'Toss-Up,' signaling that what was once considered a safe Republican seat has become genuinely competitive. A new YouGov poll shows Democratic challenger Adam Hamilton at 48% and Republican incumbent Roger Marshall at 45%, within the margin of error — a striking result in a state that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The Cook Political Report's rating change reflects both the polling and the national environment.
Marshall, first elected in 2020, is running for a second term. His Democratic opponent has campaigned on health care costs and protecting Social Security, while Marshall has emphasized his alignment with the Trump administration's agenda.
Kansas has not elected a Democrat to the Senate since 1932, making a competitive race historic in its own right. Both national parties are now pouring resources into the state.
(Sources: Cook Political Report, YouGov)
图片来源：图：堪萨斯州议会大厦（托皮卡）。摄影：Elli，CC0，来源：Wikimedia Commons
