民调：堪萨斯州参议员选战哈密尔顿与马歇尔45比45打成平手
堪萨斯州托皮卡——10月3日公布的一份《纽约时报》与锡耶纳学院联合民调显示，堪萨斯州联邦参议员选战陷入胶着：民主党候选人哈密尔顿（Hamilton）与共和党现任参议员罗杰·马歇尔（Roger Marshall）以45比45打成平手。据Political Wire报道，这一结果让原本被视为共和党稳守的席位顿生悬念。
民调显示，两位候选人的支持率完全持平，未决定选民的比例足以左右最终结果。堪萨斯州虽是传统红州，但近年来在堕胎权公投等议题上曾出现意外走向，民主党因此对拿下这一席位抱有期待。
马歇尔阵营表示，民调低估了共和党基本盘的投票热情，对守住席位充满信心；哈密尔顿阵营则称，平局本身就已说明选情对挑战者有利，竞选团队将加大基层动员力度。
分析人士指出，堪萨斯州参议员选战已成为今年中期选举参议院控制权争夺的关键战场之一，双方的广告投入与地面组织战将进入白热化。选举日为11月3日。
Poll: Kansas Senate Race a Dead Heat, Hamilton and Marshall Tied at 45-45
TOPEKA, Kan. — The Kansas U.S. Senate race is a dead heat, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released Oct. 3: Democratic challenger Hamilton and Republican incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall are tied at 45-45, Political Wire reported. The result puts a seat once considered safely Republican in play.
With the candidates locked even and enough undecided voters to swing the outcome, both campaigns are bracing for a sprint to the finish. Though Kansas is traditionally Republican, recent surprises — including the abortion-rights referendum — have Democrats hopeful about flipping the seat.
Marshall's camp said the poll underestimates GOP base enthusiasm and expressed confidence about holding the seat. Hamilton's team countered that a tie itself favors the challenger, pledging to ramp up grassroots mobilization.
Analysts say the Kansas Senate contest is now one of the key battlegrounds in the fight for Senate control, with ad spending and ground games set to intensify. Election Day is Nov. 3.
图片来源：堪萨斯州议会大厦，Wikimedia Commons，CC0
