选前最后冲刺:卢拉圣保罗大游行造势,弗拉维奥摩托车队横穿圣州

10月3日(周六),巴西总统大选第一轮投票前最后一天,两位领跑者以截然不同的方式收官。据路透社10月3日报道,现任总统卢拉在圣保罗举行大游行结束竞选,参议员弗拉维奥·博索纳罗则参加摩托车队,穿行圣保罗州的圣巴巴拉多埃斯特与阿梅里卡纳两市,随后在里约热内卢集会。
卢拉阵营称,这场游行的人数创下纪录,超过他2022年竞选的收官活动。组织者称约15万名支持者挤满了奥古斯塔街从保利斯塔大道到罗斯福广场长达两公里的路段——这是巴西最大城市传统的政治集会地带。卢拉站在竞选车上发言,把周日的选举称为“民主与野蛮”之间的选择。工人党主席埃迪尼奥·席尔瓦表示,现场人气显示选情正向卢拉一方倾斜。
弗拉维奥则呼吁支持者踊跃投票,并预言自己能第一轮获胜。他在活动中举着印有父亲肖像的牌子——前总统雅伊尔·博索纳罗因企图推翻2022年选举结果被定罪,目前处于软禁状态。
同日公布的多家民调显示两人差距极小:Datafolha的有效票模拟为卢拉45%、弗拉维奥42%;Quaest为卢拉46%、弗拉维奥45%;CNT/MDA为卢拉47.8%、弗拉维奥42.1%。按照巴西选举规则,第一轮无人获得过半有效票时,得票前两名将于10月25日进入决选。
Final Push in Brazil: Lula Marches Through Sao Paulo as Bolsonaro Rides a Motorcycle Caravan
On Saturday, October 3, the final day before Brazil's first-round presidential vote, the two frontrunners closed their campaigns in sharply different styles. Reuters reported that President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva ended his re-election campaign with a march through Sao Paulo, while Senator Flavio Bolsonaro joined a motorcycle caravan through Santa Barbara d'Oeste and Americana in Sao Paulo state before rallying later in Rio de Janeiro.
Lula's camp hailed the Sao Paulo event as a record turnout, larger than the closing rally of his 2022 campaign. Organizers said some 150,000 supporters filled the two-kilometre stretch of Augusta Street between Paulista Avenue and Roosevelt Square, a traditional stage for political demonstrations in Brazil's largest city. Speaking from a campaign vehicle, Lula framed Sunday's election as a choice between democracy and barbarism, and Workers' Party head Edinho Silva said the turnout reflected growing momentum for the incumbent.
Bolsonaro urged supporters to turn out and predicted a first-round victory. He was photographed holding a placard bearing the image of his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro, who is under house arrest after being convicted of attempting to overturn the 2022 election result he lost to Lula.
Polls released the same day showed a razor-thin race: Datafolha's valid-vote simulation put Lula at 45 percent and Bolsonaro at 42 percent; Quaest had Lula at 46 percent and Bolsonaro at 45 percent; CNT/MDA gave Lula 47.8 percent against 42.1 percent. Under Brazil's rules, if no candidate wins more than 50 percent of valid votes, the top two advance to a runoff on October 25.
图片来源:图:圣保罗保利斯塔大道街景。摄影:Wilfredor,CC0,取自 Wikimedia Commons

