荷兰民调：新政党PRO以29席居首，执政联盟远未过半
民调机构Peil.nl 10月2日结束田野调查的最新民调显示，在荷兰众议院150席的席位推算中，新政党PRO以29席居首，JA21以20席次之，自由党（PVV）19席，民主66人党（D66）18席。
其后依次为民主论坛（FvD）13席、基督教民主呼吁（CDA）与自由民主人民党（VVD）各12席，50Plus 5席，动物党与社会党各4席，基督教联盟、DENK、新教政党SGP与Volt各3席，农民公民运动（BBB）2席。
按该民调，现政府执政各党合计仅能获得约28%的议席，远未达到多数门槛。荷兰政党格局高度碎片化，任何未来联合政府都需要多党拼凑。
荷兰政治近年以联合组阁漫长著称，民调的持续变化显示选民结构仍在重组中。分析人士指出，住房、医疗与移民仍是荷兰选民最关切的议题。
Dutch Poll: New Party PRO Leads With 29 Seats as Governing Parties Fall Short
A Peil.nl voting-intention poll with fieldwork ending October 2 put the new party PRO first in seat projections for the Netherlands' 150-seat House of Representatives, with 29 seats, followed by JA21 with 20, the PVV with 19 and D66 with 18.
Behind them came Forum for Democracy with 13 seats, the Christian Democrats (CDA) and the liberal VVD with 12 each, 50Plus with five, the Party for the Animals and the Socialist Party with four each, and the Christian Union, Denk, SGP and Volt with three each, while the Farmer-Citizen Movement (BBB) took two.
On this poll, the parties currently in government would win only about 28% of parliamentary seats, well short of a majority. The Dutch party landscape remains highly fragmented, and any future coalition would require several parties.
Dutch coalition-building is famously lengthy, and shifting polls show the electorate still realigning. Housing, healthcare and immigration remain voters' top concerns, according to recent Dutch surveys.
图片来源：图：Binnenhof, The Hague -hu-1806.jpg，作者：Hubertl，授权：CC BY-SA 4.0，来源：Wikimedia Commons
